HSP compiled the following COVID-19 Statistics for U.S. States and Territories (sorted by cases per million people). This data stands as of Tuesday, April 7, 2020.
Scroll down to download this excerpt from HSP’s database.
The first country update since Friday, so a 4-day span. What does the data show? Infections are now nearly 1.5 million worldwide, a 4-day increase of 30%.
Also, we didn’t think the U.S. would ever come close to Italy or Spain’s fatality rate per million, but what can say is that the state of New York is now on track to hit the Spain/Italy fatality rate by the time they peak. Also, Spain passed Italy for the highest fatality rate in the world at 300 per million. But more about that in the next post.
Ok, so the first set of tables relates to infections not fatalities. What does the data show? New cases since Friday Top 5: United States, France(!), Spain, UK(!) and Germany (!). Italy finally dropped out of the top 5 in new cases. You haven’t heard much about France, but they are hitting some really bad numbers. Germany has generally by vaunted, but they are also getting hit very hard, although their fatality rate is still the lowest of the worst hit countries at 1.87% (which has increased considerably in the past 2 weeks). The UK did not practice social distancing and is now paying the price. Other surprises in the top new cases: Belgium and Canada, especially given their small populations.
When considering 4-day percent growth, it’s the non-Euro/North American countries exploding with growth: Bangladesh, Uzbekistan, Angola, India, Qatar, UAE, Peru and Russia. Growth rates from 80 – 168%.
How about some good news about growth rates: Italy, Spain, Germany and Iran increased at less than 20% over the past four days. Yay! Unfortunately, France, Turkey, US, UK, Canada and others are high and rising at a 4-day rate from 40 – 70%.
How about cases per million people? As we have discussed previously, Iceland has been testing like crazy (and randomly) and therefore shows about the highest rate in the world, even though half are asymptomatic. So Iceland has nearly a 5,000 per million infection rate, as does Luxembourg. In my opinion, most of the world will have such rates soon (or does already) and just did not do the testing to realize it.
The next post will be sets of data related to fatalities.
