HSP compiled the following COVID-19 Statistics for U.S. States and Territories (sorted by cases per million people). This data stands as of Tuesday, March 31, 2020.
Scroll down to download this excerpt from HSP’s database.
Lots of data coming in and numbers jumping as expected. The U.S. topped 1 million tests (0.34% of the population), with an increase of 115,000 test results in just one day. We like seeing this. While the news will be bad, it’s better to have the insight than running blind. As testing continues, the learning and strategy can improve.
Total cases are 187,000 or a nearly 18% infection rate of those tested. Hospitalizations are 27,000 (mostly in NY/NJ) and fatalities were nearly 4,000 a 29% increase from yesterday.
I sorted the data by % of population tested because we are seeing a troubling trend of the states with the lowest rate of testing having the highest/higher rates of infections per test. This implies that there are many thousands of tests in queue or those needing to be tested. More worrisome is that some of the biggest states are the worst offenders: California, Texas, Georgia, Virginia, North Carolina and even hard-hit Michigan. As these states start to get more testing done, we expect infections to increase rapidly. Fatality rates are also slightly higher in the states with lower testing rates, although it is very much state to state.
Overall fatality rate per infection increased to 2% today, from 1.75% two days ago.
Biggest % increases in infections: Puerto Rico, Georgia, Louisiana (sigh!), Missouri, Idaho, Wyoming and Kentucky.
West Virginia, Nebraska and Minnesota are the safest places to be based on cases per capita (and Puerto Rico).
New York and New Jersey are starting to slow their rates of infection growth, but it will be on a huge base, so raw numbers are still large. As suggested on Sunday, I expect total cases to top 250k by Sunday and 500k by Easter. More data as I gather it. The more we know, the smarter we can/should behave and prosper in health and the economy. It seems darkest before the light. Dark days ahead, but light on the other side….hopefully soon!
