HSP compiled the following COVID-19 Statistics for Countries over 30 million Population or 500+ Cases. This data stands as of Sunday, March 29, 2020.
Scroll down to download this excerpt from HSP’s database.
We added 3 countries today that surpassed 500 cases (Bahrain, New Zealand, and the UAE). While the US recorded the highest number of cases and the highest increase, we are still #18 in cases per capita. US ranked #3 in new fatalities and is #15 in fatalities per capita. Italy and Spain still have the highest fatality rate per capita, although Italy’s rate of growth was modest today compared with Spain’s. The next five on the fatality per capita list are all in Western Europe. Infection rates are highest in Western and Northern Europe, with Luxembourg, Iceland, and Switzerland in the top 3.
Most of the countries of the world are still in their beginning ascent of infection, while the US appears to be in the explosive stage and will likely stay there over the next 10 days as the test results catch up to the test taking. Central America, South America, Russia, much of Asia, and Africa are where we were 3 weeks ago, so expect these waves to continue. Check out the massive populations in these places and combine that with their medical infrastructure… could be rough sledding. A saving grace for many in the developing world is that their average population age is much younger than ours/Europe’s. Our average age is about 8 years younger than Italy’s, said Dr. Birx today, which could bode well for us.
Trump finally laid out some big, realistic/scary numbers today that are closer to what the rest of the models have been saying: do nothing/let the economy roar and you have 2.2+ million deaths — not good — OR shut down everything as best you can in a constitutional republic and keep the number around 100,000. He’s listening to/parroting the medical advice of Birx and Fauci as of today’s presser, which is a relief. He noted that both doctors gave him the evil eye when he asked about letting certain parts of the country get back to work. I like that the medical “evil eye” is being seen and respected (finally, many would say, although I’m trying to keep this non-political).
Based on Italy’s current fatality rate per capita, if we hit that level, it’ll be close to 60,000 fatalities in the U.S. (and over 1 million worldwide). Slowing the spread while treatments can be worked on gives us hope of keeping mortality rates down for most who get it down the line.
